World Perspectives

Inverted Yield Curve and Trade

The yield curve on Treasury bonds inverted during overnight trading, the first time this has occurred since 2007. The spread between three-year and five-year bonds dipped to negative 1.4 basis points, and that between two-year and five-year bonds followed. Each of the last seven recessions was predated by inverted yield curves. However, it is typically the spread between the two-year and 10-year Treasury notes that is generally considered the benchmark yield curve for bonds, which is currently 15 basis points after flattening throughout the year from a peak of 80 basis points. Although it couldn’t be gleaned from this morning’s press stories, an inverted yield curve is not the cause of recessions; it is sometimes a warning sign...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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