World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Let the Guessing Games Begin

The noted economist John Kenneth Galbraith famously observed that “the only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable,” which is interesting since he was one of the foremost economic forecasters of his time. His remark could be considered especially applicable to efforts at predicting what may lie ahead for commodity markets. In fact, like other forms of economic forecasting, predicting the future of grain and soy markets as well as the fundamental factors that may drive them is basically glorified guesswork. Quite literally, exchange-traded futures markets for corn, wheat and soybeans are little more than organized frameworks for guessing what prices will be at set periods of time in the future. Gu...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2375/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3375/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.6/short ton, up $1.6 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Momentum Shifts at Odds with Fundamentals

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with technical factors driving short covering and some cautious fresh long buying. There wasn’t much from a fundamental standpoint to drive the move, but the technical picture is firming for most commodities. Corn saw substantial follow-through...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 8 September)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2375/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3375/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.6/short ton, up $1.6 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Momentum Shifts at Odds with Fundamentals

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with technical factors driving short covering and some cautious fresh long buying. There wasn’t much from a fundamental standpoint to drive the move, but the technical picture is firming for most commodities. Corn saw substantial follow-through...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 8 September)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

USG Closure; Ag Gets Special Treatment; Policy Shorts

USG Closure Congressional Democrats are debating whether they should force the U.S. government into closure at the end of this month when the budget (continuing resolution) expires. Back in March, a handful of Democratic U.S. senators joined with the Republicans in ensuring funding through 30 S...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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