Cattle prices in July were very near their 10-year (2011-2020) monthly average, but more interestingly, they have been rallying through the summer. Typically, prices are higher in Q1, then drop seasonally, until they pick back up in the fall. This year Q1 was still impacted by labor availability, a backlog of cattle and large on-feed inventories, and remaining COVID protocols and layouts. In short, the lingering COVID impact is waning.  

Simultaneously, the cattle supply is downsizing, as we covered from the July Cattle on Feed report and the mid-year Cattle Inventory report from USDA last week. June placements in feedlots were lower and marketing of fed cattle to packers was higher working through some of the inventory. Cattle...