World Perspectives
biofuel energy

Long Term Energy Outlook: Exporting Ethanol, Importing Biomass Based Diesel

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) recently released its Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) for 2023 – that report is the Department of Energy’s equivalent to USDA’s long term baseline projection. The USDA’s report forecasts out to 2032, while the AEO forecasts to 2050. The AEO predicts that exports will become the driver of petroleum and liquid fuels. Domestic consumption is forecast not to increase through 2040 (even across high and low-price cases). Liquid fuel use is not projected to return to pre-COVID levels. While miles traveled increase, so does fuel efficiency of the vehicle fleet, offsetting aggregate fuel use. Additionally, the percentage of electric vehicles in the fleet increases. Finally, l...

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livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.1 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 97.4 and 98.6 percent of 1 August 2024. Those estimates imply an on-feed i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.04/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.36/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $297.2/short ton, up $1.3 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies, but is it a Correction or a Trend Reversal?

The CBOT turned higher at mid-week with wheat leading the way and corn and soybeans following on somewhat minor news items. Wheat saw a strong rally develop that created bullish key reversals on the charts after rumors of Asian export demand – fueled by the U.S. Gulf’s discount to R...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.1 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 97.4 and 98.6 percent of 1 August 2024. Those estimates imply an on-feed i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.04/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.36/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $297.2/short ton, up $1.3 from ye...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies, but is it a Correction or a Trend Reversal?

The CBOT turned higher at mid-week with wheat leading the way and corn and soybeans following on somewhat minor news items. Wheat saw a strong rally develop that created bullish key reversals on the charts after rumors of Asian export demand – fueled by the U.S. Gulf’s discount to R...

Rearranged Trade Impacts

U.S. tariffs are reordering world trade and may further impact the nation’s agricultural exports. While soybean exports to China are stalled as that nation redirects all of its purchases to South America, that has been a political position that ignores the lower cost of U.S. soybeans. How...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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