USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed (COF) report, released 23 March, showed the number of cattle in 1,000+ capacity feedlots at 11.7 million head as of 1 March. The total was 109 percent of last year or up 1 million head versus 1 March 2017. While also the third consecutive month that the inventory grew 8 percent or more from the prior year, this was the first time since October 2006 that it increased a full 9 percent.

February’s large placement numbers correspond with a 2.1 percent drop in steer slaughter and a 7.8 percent increase in heifer slaughter year over year. Together with increased cow slaughter, this is a sign of ongoing herd liquidation.

The market had already factored in pre-report estimates of large inventories and...