The CBOT opened as called with wheat leading the way higher. Overnight news that the Russian ag ministry is considering adopting a policy that would permit the restriction of wheat exports (though WPI argues this is unlikely to be used this year) put a bid under the wheat market. Similarly, rumors of soybean and wheat export business being conducted was supportive for the broader ag markets. The world is waiting for tomorrow’s Phase One deal signing between the U.S. and China. After the signing is completed, the document will be released at least partially, and will offer good insight as to what U.S. farm product shipments to the Middle Kingdom might look like for the next few years. As WPI has cautioned repeatedly, however, ou...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...