Note that the CBOT markets will be closed on Monday, 20 January 2020 for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. The CBOT traded another volatile day with corn erasing yesterday’s steep losses and wheat, soybeans, and soyoil all finishing higher as well. Rumors of Chinese corn and sorghum purchases created a short-covering mood in the corn pit that would continue through the day. Floor brokers suggest funds bought 15,000-17,000 contracts of corn – 50 percent more than they were estimated to have sold yesterday! Traders are likely finding it hard to be short ag products with a Phase One deal in place and Chinese purchases now being made on (mostly) pure economics. As WPI’s Jody Lefcourt noted today, yesterday’s mar...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...