The market bounced off new contract lows from earlier this week and while it usually would buy on a rumor it took reports of Chinese buying interest with a wee bit of caution. JC Intelligence believes China will buy 10 MMT of soybeans and 20 MMT of corn from the U.S. as part of the Phase One trade deal and to refill strategic stocks. The soybean number is considerable, but the corn number would be historic. Still, it is not enough to offset the plunge in corn demand from ethanol makers. Feed demand in China is strong, which is notable considering continued problems in the nation’s pig herds. There is also a rumor that China wants to buy U.S. beef, though getting it through a packing plant is an increasing problem. There are mor...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...