The CBOT opened on a higher note with soybeans finding solid support on technical buying as well as rumors of Chinese purchases of U.S. product. Soymeal and soyoil opened higher as well but worked their way lower through the day, posting losses to start the week. Grains opened firmer but could not find follow-through buying and slowly drifted lower through the session with funds returning as net sellers. The big news of the day was that China booked 4-6 cargoes (240,000+ MT) of soybeans for shipment in July. FOB NOLA offers are increasingly competitive with Brazilian offers as the harvest in South America dwindles and prices firm. WPI’s research suggests FOB NOLA offers have a 10-16 cent/bushel advantage versus FOB Paranagua, Brazil...
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.