CBOT markets opened on the defensive with traders cautious ahead of the May WASDE. The market was expecting a bearish report and that pressured the soybean market early, despite USDA’s daily export sales wire that reported 136,000 MT of soybeans sold to China for delivery during 2019/20. The May WASDE was friendlier than expected by most analysts with USDA making modest adjustments to U.S. and world balance sheets. World corn, wheat, and soybean production are all expected to increase in 2020/21 and the theme of large supplies will be dominant during the coming marketing year. For now, however, USDA’s cautious adjustments to demand-side factors meant that 2019/20 and 2020/21 U.S. ending stocks are initially forecast below...
What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...
Tomorrow is the Juneteenth federal holiday, and the USDA, along with the rest of the federal government and the CME, will be closed, so the monthly Cattle on Feed report was released a day early. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity on 1 June amounted...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.