Commodity markets were expected to mimic the risk-off mentality of today’s financial markets and that was true until USDA’s June WASDE report was released. The financial markets fear a reprise of COVID. Chicago opened lower amid reduced corn use for ethanol and more soybean exports by Brazil versus the U.S. By contrast, wheat was thought to have lots of global weather concerns. All of that was turned on its head after the report. The forecast for much lower soybean ending stocks in 2020/21 was a surprise, and the wheat numbers were bearish. The market responded rationally. Nowhere did futures end the day contrary to the consensus report number and the expectations leading up to the report (see table below). 

This was ju...