It might have been a day of big surprises given the number of new crop estimates being issued around the world. Governments in China, Brazil, Canada, and the U.S. all issued new forecasts, but the overall changes were relatively small. The result was a mixed day in U.S. futures markets. Volume was up, and new contract lows were established for March corn and soymeal, and Euronext wheat.

China’s new report is hardly worth mentioning. StatsCan made some adjustments to stocks. The CONAB changes in production estimates are notable (see below), but USDA’s WASDE numbers for domestic supplies were market movers.  Increased wheat carryover in the U.S. and EU was more than offset by reductions elsewhere causing overall world whe...