World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bear Scent

This should be the window for U.S. export sales, but it has been strangely quiet. There were rumors of a Chinese purchase this week, but nothing has been confirmed. If exports falter and U.S. farmers produce a bumper crop this summer, the surplus stocks overhang will plunge prices. Speculators are already bailing with the CFTC report that during early February, they cut their net long positions in soybeans by 7.6 percent, in corn by 7.1 percent, and added 10 percent to their net shorts in wheat. Russia will likely balk at extending the Black Sea grain corridor agreement when it expires on 18 March, and that will lead to some level of spike in corn and wheat. But that will be ephemeral. What is needed are U.S. exports. Traders are believing...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Comfortable, With Jitters

There was generally low volume in grains today as traders await USDA’s important reports on Friday. There is no reason to spend more money on fees or commissions after spending several days aligning with the perceived outcomes. At the same time, market noise does not completely stop and there i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.54/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3625/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $300.8/short ton, down $2.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 December 2024 – 3 January 2025As of the end of 2024, Russian Statistics Agency (RosStat) statistics show “preliminary” grain crop size at 124.96 MMT without including occupied territories of Ukraine, but including annexed Crimea. RosStat can issue “preliminary” updates...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Comfortable, With Jitters

There was generally low volume in grains today as traders await USDA’s important reports on Friday. There is no reason to spend more money on fees or commissions after spending several days aligning with the perceived outcomes. At the same time, market noise does not completely stop and there i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.54/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3625/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $300.8/short ton, down $2.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 December 2024 – 3 January 2025As of the end of 2024, Russian Statistics Agency (RosStat) statistics show “preliminary” grain crop size at 124.96 MMT without including occupied territories of Ukraine, but including annexed Crimea. RosStat can issue “preliminary” updates...

Trudeau Resigns as Canadian Prime Minister

On the campaign trail in 2024, then-candidate and now President-elect Donald Trump proposed to levy tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imports, and 60 percent on imports from China. Then on the week of Thanksgiving, that changed to 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 p...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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