Corn, wheat, and soybean futures all rose today, despite some forecasts for an improving weather pattern. There may also be some pre-WASDE positioning where USDA could adjust some ending stocks and global output. But since this is a weather market, let’s start there. The current forecast is why weather forecasters win few awards. What is definitive is that showers are currently isolated and too far west from the central and eastern growing regions. The cold front comes in tonight and will bring what is termed a more progressive pattern that generates more systems into next week and the rest of June. But the models are less definitive about their coverage and significance. This change in pattern will be helpful but the betting today s...
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet aga...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.