World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Big Crops Get Bigger

The CBOT was mostly bearish on Friday under the primary theme that big crops get bigger. That is true of Brazil’s safrinha production, the outlook for which CONAB raised yesterday, and Argentina’s soybean crop per the Rosario Grains Exchange’s latest estimates. Similarly, wheat crop tours in the U.S. have found above-expectation yields in the Southern Plains, most notably Kansas, despite all the year’s challenges. These factors, combined with favorable weather and uncertainty in the biofuel demand outlook put the CBOT on the defensive for the day with wheat, corn, soyoil, and soymeal all turning lower. Funds were net sellers across the board, but volumes were relatively light after a volatile week.  The bearish...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.025/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.1075/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $276.9/short ton, up $1 from y...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Quick Hits – Feeder Cattle, Chicken Nuggets, China Hogs, Turkey and U.S. Brazil Trade Talks

Feeder Cattle Hit Record Highs: Feeder cattle contracts are trading at $382.725/cwt, a record high, including adjusted for inflation. The previous peak was $320 in today’s dollars. Futures across the board remain elevated, averaging about $380/cwt, an indication that tight supplies will l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed But Fruitful Day of Adjustments

Agricultural futures might be called mixed on the day, though that is upbeat by itself. There was a continuation of the bear wheat/bull beef story with a new contract low printed in HRS, and a new contract high in cattle. The corn market continued its rebound story on potential yield declines c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.025/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.1075/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $276.9/short ton, up $1 from y...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Quick Hits – Feeder Cattle, Chicken Nuggets, China Hogs, Turkey and U.S. Brazil Trade Talks

Feeder Cattle Hit Record Highs: Feeder cattle contracts are trading at $382.725/cwt, a record high, including adjusted for inflation. The previous peak was $320 in today’s dollars. Futures across the board remain elevated, averaging about $380/cwt, an indication that tight supplies will l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Does Bias in CONAB’s Forecasts Imply Even Bigger Crops?

CONAB recently released its first forecasts for the 2025/26 corn, soybean, and wheat crops (among others) and pegged production for the first two at massive levels. The soybean crop was forecast at a record 177.6 MMT, up sharply from the prior year and easily the largest on record due to expand...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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