The CBOT turned lower again on Wednesday with wheat leading the way on headlines that Russia may establish export corridors for Ukrainian grain/ag products. Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister indicated the country is talking with the UN on potential food export corridors in the Black Sea, which sparked media headlines and prompted news-reading algos to sell CBOT ag products. WPI doubts the UN-Russian talks will result in any meaningful change to world grain/oilseed balance sheets as Russia is still insisting on full removal of western sanctions before it will open export corridors. Until Russia ends its aggression in Ukraine, the West will not significantly loosen its sanctions and so Russia’s stance is effectively a deal-k...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.