World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls on Peace Talk Rumors; Macro Markets Jump on Rate Hike and Chinese Policy Shift

Rumors and statements from Russia and Ukraine regarding a possible ceasefire agreement pressured CBOT markets Wednesday while sending U.S. stocks sharply higher. On Tuesday, Russian President Putin said peace talks were stalled but Ukrainian President Zelensky indicated that talks were still in progress and hinted at a possible end to the war in May. This afternoon, Russia’s Foreign Minister indicated there was hope for compromise. There is no solid indication of when/where talks may occur or when the war will end, but today’s news points out that headline risk is very real for the CBOT. Volatility will remain the dominant feature of ag markets until a meaningful peace is established in Ukraine. For the day, funds sold some 25,...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bullish Whopper

This last trading day of the first full trading week of 2025 came in like a whimper and went out with a bang. The trading day started with a notably sub-par Export Sales report from USDA. New commitments for wheat, corn, and soybeans all hit a marketing year low for export sales last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estima...

biofuel

45Z Tax Credit Preliminary Guidance Released; No GREET Model Yet

As WPI reported on 6 December, the Treasury Department had promised that the compliance regulations for the 45Z Clean Fuels Production credit would be released by the end of the Biden Administration, implying no later than 19 January, the day before President-elect Trump’s inauguration.  T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bullish Whopper

This last trading day of the first full trading week of 2025 came in like a whimper and went out with a bang. The trading day started with a notably sub-par Export Sales report from USDA. New commitments for wheat, corn, and soybeans all hit a marketing year low for export sales last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estima...

biofuel

45Z Tax Credit Preliminary Guidance Released; No GREET Model Yet

As WPI reported on 6 December, the Treasury Department had promised that the compliance regulations for the 45Z Clean Fuels Production credit would be released by the end of the Biden Administration, implying no later than 19 January, the day before President-elect Trump’s inauguration.  T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.705/bushel, up $0.145 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3075/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, up $0.2625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $298.3/short ton, down $1 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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