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Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Falling USD, Tariff Pause, and Technical Buying

CBOT futures and ag markets look very different today than they did just one week ago. Last Friday, ag futures were deep in the red with traders exiting positions and engaging in risk-off trade as the outlook for U.S. trade and the global economy seemed far from certain. This week, futures ended higher and took back more or all last week’s losses with more trade-friendly developments on the tariff front supporting market sentiment. Another major factor pushing futures higher has been the slide in the U.S. dollar, which has added to U.S. export competitiveness despite the trade war(s). Funds and commercials were both net buyers for the day and the myriad bullish technical developments that occurred this week should keep markets on firm...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

Tariff War Patience; Self-Sufficiency; Reciprocal Treatment

Tariff War Patience The latest Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers fell 12 points or nearly 8 percent on concerns about the trade war’s impact on export markets. Surveys indicate that the American public expects tariffs to raise their cost of living. They al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5575/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $299.6/short ton, up $1.7 f...

Budget Reconciliation: A Step Closer to “One Big Beautiful Bill”

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed a budget bill by a vote of 216 to 214. The two Republican “no” votes were from Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, neither of which was a surprise. Massie has been a skeptic of the bill all along and Spartz famousl...

Tariff War Patience; Self-Sufficiency; Reciprocal Treatment

Tariff War Patience The latest Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers fell 12 points or nearly 8 percent on concerns about the trade war’s impact on export markets. Surveys indicate that the American public expects tariffs to raise their cost of living. They al...

A Timeline of Tariffs

As WPI readers will be fully aware, there has recently been a flood of discussion about tariffs facing U.S. agricultural exports and imports. To date, WPI has been dissatisfied with the presentation of the timeline of these tariffs and evaluation of the full duties U.S. exports face entering fo...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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