World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Weaken Further but Soy Complex Show Strength

The CBOT was mostly lower on Tuesday with risk-off trade and seasonal factors driving most of the day’s action. The markets are also seeing a good bit of repositioning heading into first notice day on Friday, which helped drive heavy-volume trade and some of spread trade dynamics. The soy complex saw some interesting strength, however, that helped push soybeans and soymeal to form bullish semi-reversals on the charts. The seasonal patterns in the major commodity futures favor a selloff from now into early April but the soy sector technicals are pointing to something possibly different. Much will depend on the USDA’s pending acreage outlook in the Ag Outlook Forum that will occur later this week.  Weather forecasts continue...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 3.3 percentage points over the past week and reached 43.8 percent of the estimated area nationwide. Progress remains slow due to high grain moisture and inaccessible soils in some regions. Still, harvest pace is 8 points ahead of last year &mda...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s recent strikes against Ukraine and poor progress in peace talks between the two countries in Istanbul have added “war risk” premia back into several markets, including wheat.  Farmers in Spain and France were protesting, again, agricultural im...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Friday and an Upward Bound Week

If yesterday’s trading looked like uncertainty ultimately succumbing to the bulls, today’s trading opened with the bears fully in charge. Contracts opened lower and mostly stayed that way until late morning when there appeared to be an epiphany with the bulls and they took charge. I...

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