What You Need to Know Today:
Oil prices moved higher early Monday before giving back some of their gains after drone attacks forced the shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline, a critical route for bypassing constrained shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The disruption puts roughly 4 percent of global oil supply at risk, while recent Houthi gains near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait have added another layer of uncertainty for Red Sea energy exports. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5 percent for the first time since October 2023 ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. A rate hike is widely expected, while elevated energy prices are adding another source of inflationary pressure and keeping the possibility of addition...
As predicted, the Federal Reserve held rates steady at the last meeting before the midterm elections, likely in part because of the election (see WPI 19 October and 22 September). The decision comes at the tail end of a midterm election cycle that has been marked by the two parties campaigning...
Key Takeaways: WPI’s new EU rapeseed crushing margin models point to weaker processing returns over the next four months due to higher rapeseed procurement costs and weaker product values. Statistical forecasts call for German crushing margins to decline from €181/MT to €...
Key Takeaways: The tariff burden rose sharply in 2025 and 2026: the effective rate on imports in HTS Chapters 1–24 increased from 1.53 percent in 2024 to 6.11 percent in 2025, before averaging 5.68 percent in January–August 2026. Headline rates tell only part of the story: exemptio...
