World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lots of Uncertainties Except Certain Problems with China

There was no reversal of yesterday’s decline in commodity markets. The trend is your friend, and that beat out thoughts of a technical reversal. The market was down at the open and then came even more bearish outside influences.  Commodity and financial market prices plunged as the trans-Pacific situation heated up with President Trump saying he saw no reason to meet with Chinese President Xi later this month and threatened more tariffs on Chinese goods. This followed Beijing’s notice that it might tighten restrictions on exports of rare earths. This is a repeat of past threats and counter-threats and the move by China is seen as an effort to boost negotiating leverage ahead of potential bilateral talks.   That wa...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

soy-oilseeds

What Spreads and Basis Are Saying About Soybean Exports

The government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leaving the grain markets without two weeks of export data. Fortunately, the USDA AMS and FGIS continue to publish the weekly Export Inspections report, leaving the grain industry not totally blind to exports. Even so, that report covers only a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

soy-oilseeds

What Spreads and Basis Are Saying About Soybean Exports

The government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leaving the grain markets without two weeks of export data. Fortunately, the USDA AMS and FGIS continue to publish the weekly Export Inspections report, leaving the grain industry not totally blind to exports. Even so, that report covers only a...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets are waiting to see how rates will react now that China’s Golden Week and South Korea’s holidays are both over. The Golden Week celebrations ended on Wednesday and, so far, dry bulk rates have not seen much upward movement. Panamax and Capesize vessels are slightly f...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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