The CBOT was mostly lower at mid-week with traders still reacting to the bearish implications of the January WASDE. For bulls, matters seem to keep getting worse as competion from South America continues to rise. Brazilian FOB offers for soybeans are plunging lower while the Rosario Grain Exchange pegged Argentina’s 2023/24 corn crop at a new record high. Combined with surprisingly well-stocked U.S. balance sheets, these developments are adding to the market’s recent bearishness and driving futures lower. Corn and wheat markets scored new contract lows for the day while soybeans are threatening to drop below $12.00. Funds were again net sellers for the day and currently see little reason to abandon their successful, profitable b...
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet aga...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
Key Takeaways: Drought remains a major threat to global agricultural production, particularly in regions with limited rainfall and growing water scarcity. Commercially available drought-tolerant traits in corn, soybeans, and wheat have generally delivered modest yield improvements, limiting th...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.