World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Market Commentary: Pre-Report Plus Brazil Lightens Risk

Volume was light except in soymeal, Feeders and lean hogs. USDA’s final quarterly stocks report for MY 2023/24 arrives Monday and it has surprised to the bullish side for the past four out of five years. So the goal was to get out of short positions.  On the week, soymeal exploded on huge export sales while lean hogs were the only loser. Weather is helping promote the mostly sideways movement. Recent heavy rains in the U.S. Midwest followed by more moisture from Hurricane Helene will clear out and return to dry conditions for resumed harvesting. However, winter wheat is missing out on the rainfall. Meanwhile, Western Europe remains too wet, the Black Sea and Brazil too dry, but Australia is getting some needed rainfall. The 1...

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livestock

Livestock Roundup: Turkey Production Adjusted Down

Turkey production in August totaled 434.7 million pounds, slightly above July production but down 11 percent year-over-year. August slaughter was down 15 percent year-over-year, but heavier weights in August (32.25 pounds) offset the reduced slaughter. Based on the August production data, estim...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 15 November)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 November 2024By Matt HerringtonDry bulk freight markets were mixed this week with Capes rising while Supramax vessel rates declined yet again. The Capesize sector found support from China’s recent efforts to stockpile coal and iron ore, but this support has not yet t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

The CBOT saw another day of pronounced weakness with expectations for larger global soybean and wheat production and stocks in 2025 weighing on values. Product demand in the soy complex has also been a huge negative factor recently with uncertainty over U.S. biofuels policy causing a sharp redu...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Turkey Production Adjusted Down

Turkey production in August totaled 434.7 million pounds, slightly above July production but down 11 percent year-over-year. August slaughter was down 15 percent year-over-year, but heavier weights in August (32.25 pounds) offset the reduced slaughter. Based on the August production data, estim...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 15 November)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 November 2024By Matt HerringtonDry bulk freight markets were mixed this week with Capes rising while Supramax vessel rates declined yet again. The Capesize sector found support from China’s recent efforts to stockpile coal and iron ore, but this support has not yet t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

The CBOT saw another day of pronounced weakness with expectations for larger global soybean and wheat production and stocks in 2025 weighing on values. Product demand in the soy complex has also been a huge negative factor recently with uncertainty over U.S. biofuels policy causing a sharp redu...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Multi-Bearish Factors

The MarketThe January soybean contract has been sliding all week and despite support at the 20-day moving average of $10.01/ST, it closed today below $10/bushel for the first time this month. The reasons are many including: a rising dollar value, 2) large impending South American production, 3)...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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