World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybeans Adjust to New Paradigm; Feeder Cattle Score New Highs; Wheat Nears Support

The CBOT was mixed to start the week with soybeans surging early on the hot, dry conditions last week and forecast for this week, with an added boost from a sub-50 BPA ProFarmer yield estimate. Corn followed soybeans higher but ran into resistance just shy of $5 that stalled the day’s progress. Traders are increasingly worried about crop stress over the next few weeks, despite relatively favorable crop tour results. Wheat, on the other hand, found no encouragement from the week’s weather or weekend developments and promptly sold off with both the KCBT and CBOT markets targeting major support levels. Funds were strong net sellers in wheat and were net buyers across the soy complex and corn. The ProFarmer crop tour concluded last...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

Identifying Mispricing Opportunities in Ag Futures

In many ways, human nature is fascinated with the future – predicting what will and what could be and formulating plans accordingly. This is one factor that makes commodity futures markets inherently intriguing – their role in foretelling the future. As WPI readers have likely exper...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: July WASDE Beef Forecast Update

Per USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the U.S. as of 1 January was at its lowest point in more than 70 years. Moreover, this was the sixth consecutive year of smaller cattle inventory since 2019. There was a reduction at virtually every level...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.21/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.335/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.265/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.5/short ton, up $0 from ye...

Identifying Mispricing Opportunities in Ag Futures

In many ways, human nature is fascinated with the future – predicting what will and what could be and formulating plans accordingly. This is one factor that makes commodity futures markets inherently intriguing – their role in foretelling the future. As WPI readers have likely exper...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: July WASDE Beef Forecast Update

Per USDA’s annual Cattle Inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the U.S. as of 1 January was at its lowest point in more than 70 years. Moreover, this was the sixth consecutive year of smaller cattle inventory since 2019. There was a reduction at virtually every level...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Three-Factor Rally for Soy Complex; Corn Extends Gains

Overnight trade saw short covering and corrective trade in corn, soybeans, and wheat but only the former two markets were able to hold their gains. Soybeans saw a bullish day from the confluence of three factors – the NOPA crush report, fresh “flash” export sales, and Presiden...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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