There are days in the commodity markets when it feels like nothing is happening in any market, and then there are days when it feels like everything is happening in every market. Today was one of the latter days. The big headline in ag trade Wednesday was the soybean futures and broader soy complex rally after President Trump said he asked China to buy another 8 MMT of soybeans for 2025/26, bringing the Middle Kingdom’s purchase commitment to 20 MMT. That unexpected and undeniably bullish move sent soybeans unquestionably higher, with funds rapidly exiting shorts and procuring longs. While there are many questions about whether China thinks it will buy another 8 MMT or not, the futures market’s reaction was “buy now,...
Accountability and a comprehensive approach to export programming
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What You Need to Know Today: Iran says its definition of the Strait of Hormuz is now a “vast operation area” that stretches from Jask to Siri Island. The White House said President Trump did not sign a suspension of the TRQs on beef imports but is “finalizing potential...
If the media headlines and Trump critics are to be believed, President Trump is headed to Beijing this Thursday in a weakened position. China is in control, it has the upper hand, and expectations are very low. These are the same critics that argue against overly simplistic zero-sum analyses in...