USDA surprised the markets with planted acreage forecasts that were well below pre-report expectations. USDA pegged 2021 corn acres at just 91.1 million, up fractionally from the prior year while soybean acres were pegged at 87.6 million, up 5.4 percent. Both figures were well below the low end of pre-report estimates, giving the report an undebatable bullish implication.  Another surprise was slightly larger than expected wheat acres (especially winter wheat) while sorghum acres were well below expectations. Indeed, WPI’s models have been consistently predicting 7.5-7.7 million acres of sorghum, which now looks to be too optimistic. 

The “other” report of the day, USDA’s Grain Stocks report, was mostly...