Bull markets need to be constantly “fed” with news and when that feeding slows or lapses, the rally does too. That’s largely what happened at the CBOT on Tuesday with a quiet day for fundamental news allowing markets to pull back with mild profit taking and slight corrective price action. Prices didn’t stray far from their recent highs, however, a sign that bulls remain engaged and bears on the defensive. The reasons for this, of course, are the heightened political volatility in the Black Sea and Ukraine’s dwindling export opportunities as well as the hot, dry U.S. weather forecast. USDA’s Crop Conditions report on Monday didn’t offer many surprises and the market is now largely waiting to see what...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The surprises from the USDA’s Acreage report were a sharp reduction in winter wheat area from the March Prospective Plantings estimates and a larger-than-expected increase in corn area. The Grain Stocks report offered relatively few surprises, but quarterly d...
On Monday, the Trump Administration suspended the countervailing duties (CVDs) on phosphate fertilizer imports from Morocco via Executive Order. The CVDs were imposed in 2021 by the Biden Administration and were subject to a routine five-year sunset review. According to the Agricultural and Foo...
Key Takeaways: High oleic soybeans produce oil containing 70–80 percent oleic acid, improving stability and eliminating the need for partial hydrogenation, which eliminates trans fats. There are three primary varieties of high oleic soybeans available commercially: Plenish, Vistive Gold,...