World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Wednesday on Tariff Pause

The ag markets – and financial markets broadly – posted a dramatic reversal on Wednesday after President Trump hinted on social media that he might create a 90-day pause in tariffs for some countries. That news sparked a huge turnaround in markets that otherwise seemed slated for weaker closes on earlier, more depressing trade news. Early trade was dominated by news of China’s announcement of 84 percent duties on U.S. good starting Thursday, an escalation that occurred after the U.S. applied 104 percent tariffs on Chinese good shortly after midnight Wednesday morning. China’s move raises the previously announced 34 percent tariffs to 84 percent in addition to other tariffs already in place. Other bearish developments...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Rule Mostly; Rain and Sunshine Make Grain

Wheat and pigs were the day’s winners, with much of the rest of the contracts bleeding red. President Trump’s war of words with China added some negative energy on the day. It was similar for the week with HRS and hogs adding value, and soymeal higher by a miniscule fraction, but th...

Sorting Through Tariffs

On 2 April, President Trump announced the U.S. will impose a minimum baseline of 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods into the U.S. as well as higher reciprocal tariffs on exporting countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods. Countries that will see tariffs higher than the baseline 10 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Challenging Analogues

Drew Lerner at World Weather, Inc. makes an interesting analogy between U.S. weather this spring, and that of 1968. Both this year and 1968 involved recovery from peak solar activity (sunspots) and neutral ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) conditions.  He looked at seven previous...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Rule Mostly; Rain and Sunshine Make Grain

Wheat and pigs were the day’s winners, with much of the rest of the contracts bleeding red. President Trump’s war of words with China added some negative energy on the day. It was similar for the week with HRS and hogs adding value, and soymeal higher by a miniscule fraction, but th...

Sorting Through Tariffs

On 2 April, President Trump announced the U.S. will impose a minimum baseline of 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods into the U.S. as well as higher reciprocal tariffs on exporting countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods. Countries that will see tariffs higher than the baseline 10 perc...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Challenging Analogues

Drew Lerner at World Weather, Inc. makes an interesting analogy between U.S. weather this spring, and that of 1968. Both this year and 1968 involved recovery from peak solar activity (sunspots) and neutral ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) conditions.  He looked at seven previous...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $296.4/short ton, up $2.7 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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