World Perspectives
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Market Commentary: WASDE Offers Surprises and Questions Linger Going Forward

The CBOT was strictly focused on the August WASE in Friday’s trade. Price action before the USDA’s noon report featured quiet, weaker spread trade and wheat fell 11-17 cents while corn and soybean futures pushed higher. The report itself was within the range of pre-report estimates, but several points (e.g., U.S. corn yields and wheat ending stocks) were on the extremes of analysts’ estimates. That lent the report an air of holding surprises, even if most key figures were within the expected range. Perhaps the biggest reaction to the August WASDE, as is always the case with this report, is the fact there is large potential for change in future WASDEs, based on challenging growing conditions in the U.S., EU, and Argentina.&...

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wheat

AP Quant: WASDE Wheat

WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...

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AP Quant: WASDE Corn

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved sharply, with estimated net losses narrowing to -$111/head from -$206/head the prior week. The recovery was driven by another firming in the boxed beef cutout, which rose to $379.00/cwt, while fed cattle prices softened modestly on the week. Even with the improvemen...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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