The Fed continues to describe inflation as transient but said this week it is prepared to raise interest rates if proven wrong. Several business leaders are certain it is a larger problem than just being transient. Both have compelling narratives, but which is correct? Farmers are complaining about the rising cost of inputs, but they should benefit from elevated commodity prices, assuming the value of the dollar does not work against them. A larger problem would be to have spent on inputs and then have drought wipe out any profits from production. But that is a reason to carry federally subsidized insurance.  The current bent towards drought may not be a passing fancy. NOAA’s recent models place a 51 percent chance of a return o...

TAGS – Feed Grains, Soy & Oilseeds, Wheat, Livestock, North America, South America