The Fed continues to describe inflation as transient but said this week it is prepared to raise interest rates if proven wrong. Several business leaders are certain it is a larger problem than just being transient. Both have compelling narratives, but which is correct? Farmers are complaining about the rising cost of inputs, but they should benefit from elevated commodity prices, assuming the value of the dollar does not work against them. A larger problem would be to have spent on inputs and then have drought wipe out any profits from production. But that is a reason to carry federally subsidized insurance. The current bent towards drought may not be a passing fancy. NOAA’s recent models place a 51 percent chance of a return o...
What Matters Today... Fed holds rates steady as inflation uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict pressures equities and supports broader commodity risk premia Biofuel demand accelerating globally, with U.S. imports of used cooking oil and strong soyoil demand reinforcing upside across the soy c...
Russian Grain Markets: 20-24 April 2026 During the week in review, the Russian grains market remained volatile with a broadly bullish undertone. However, it remains too early to determine whether this shift is being driven by geopolitical factors or short-term positioning. The market continues...
WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.