The CBOT attempted a dead-cat bounce overnight but turned lower during the day session. Wheat was the downside leader as weak technical conditions, and a large Australian crop are pressuring the price outlook. Wheat weakness pulled corn lower and the March futures contract slipped to major trendline resistance before finding support. The theme of the day for the soy complex was soyoil falling against soymeal and general weakness in soybeans. The soy complex came under fire from overnight weather forecasts offering better chances of precipitation for Brazil in the next two weeks Outside markets were mixed with U.S. equities rebounding as yesterday’s end-of-month selling turned into first-of-month buying. Additional positive news about...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...