Soybeans Brazil The Brazilian market was almost entirely dead last week with Chinese buyers sidelined and not bidding on any position. Their absence has persisted for two weeks now, concerning several exporters. The situation is compounded by a lack of farmer selling (due to the strong Brazilian real). Consequently, the market remains at a standstill. The problem is that exporters need to move their logistics, and WPI believes they hold a 2-MMT long position in old crop soybeans. That is mostly for nearby deliveries and one of the reasons why the nearby market is receiving pressure. Last week the main activity was rolling positions forward. Several trading houses had to roll from July to August and pay 9 cents for 20 days, while rol...
What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...
Tomorrow is the Juneteenth federal holiday, and the USDA, along with the rest of the federal government and the CME, will be closed, so the monthly Cattle on Feed report was released a day early. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity on 1 June amounted...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.