World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil  The Brazilian market was almost entirely dead last week with Chinese buyers sidelined and not bidding on any position. Their absence has persisted for two weeks now, concerning several exporters. The situation is compounded by a lack of farmer selling (due to the strong Brazilian real). Consequently, the market remains at a standstill. The problem is that exporters need to move their logistics, and WPI believes they hold a 2-MMT long position in old crop soybeans. That is mostly for nearby deliveries and one of the reasons why the nearby market is receiving pressure. Last week the main activity was rolling positions forward. Several trading houses had to roll from July to August and pay 9 cents for 20 days, while rol...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lots of Uncertainties Except Certain Problems with China

There was no reversal of yesterday’s decline in commodity markets. The trend is your friend, and that beat out thoughts of a technical reversal. The market was down at the open and then came even more bearish outside influences.  Commodity and financial market prices plunged as the t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lots of Uncertainties Except Certain Problems with China

There was no reversal of yesterday’s decline in commodity markets. The trend is your friend, and that beat out thoughts of a technical reversal. The market was down at the open and then came even more bearish outside influences.  Commodity and financial market prices plunged as the t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

soy-oilseeds

What Spreads and Basis Are Saying About Soybean Exports

The government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leaving the grain markets without two weeks of export data. Fortunately, the USDA AMS and FGIS continue to publish the weekly Export Inspections report, leaving the grain industry not totally blind to exports. Even so, that report covers only a...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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