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Mercosur Regional Analysis

Sorghum  Little has been said about the sorghum crop in Argentina, but it is having a very particular year. The 2023 crop produced 2.5 MMT according to the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange on 845,000 hectares of harvested land. This is far below the nearly-3.5 MMT harvested in 2020/21 and 2021/22 but above the 2.25 MMT of the average of the last five years. Given the smaller crop, the government defined a maximum export quota for sorghum of 950 KMT, but exporters only requested export permits for 660 KMT. They have not even managed to cover this volume in the local market, however, and have only purchased 460 KMT.  The market for Argentina’s sorghum is purely and exclusively China. In the FOB market there are practically n...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.48/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1525/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.7125/bushel, up $0.195 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $298.1/short ton, up $4 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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