Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Morocco is forecast by USDA-FAS to be importing about 4.5 MMT of wheat in 2021/22 – down from 5.4 MMT in 2020/21. The drop is due to the greatly increased wheat production, up from last year’s drought affected production of 2.6 MMT to this year’s forecasted 7.5 MMT. Due to the much better production levels, the ending stocks number for wheat is expected to more than double to 2.4 MMT. Barley too will show a much better production level, jumping from 640,000 MT to 2.8 MMT while imports drop by 200,000 MT to 300,000 MT. The barley use in animal feed will increase by 1.1 MMT to 1.7 MMT due to barley availability. Morocco wheat imports will “officially&rdqu...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.