World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mixed USDA Reports

USDA did not make a single change to the U.S. wheat supply and demand numbers. It did, however, adjust  production estimates for India, Kazakhstan, Australia, Canada and China.The biggest surprises in today’s USDA series of reports both came in soybeans. The soybean yield was raised as expected, but the estimate was larger than anticipated at 50.6 bushels/acre versus the trade guess of 49.2 bushels/acre. The second surprise was that USDA boosted the old crop soybean export forecast by 60 million bushels. That lowered old crop ending supplies to a scant 195 million bushels and, in turn, cut into the increase in new crop ending supplies. USDA also boosted new crop export demand by 35 million bushels. 2016/17 soybean ending supplies are n...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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