World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Moral Reciprocity

President Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports are mostly pure protectionism. Canada, Brazil and Mexico are the main suppliers, not the state-driven over-production of China. But now the President says he is going to impose reciprocal tariffs, matching dollar for dollar (percent for percent?) what other countries impose on American products. That has the air of equity, a term Mr. Trump does not like in other contexts.   The fact that some countries have higher tariffs and others have lower tariffs is a vestige of larger historical differences between different economies. Former USTR official Mark Linscott blames Trump’s move toward reciprocal tariffs on the 30-year failure of the WTO to get its members to volu...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather Forecasts while Livestock Futures Hit New Highs

Except for the livestock futures, which all hit new contract or record highs, the CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with favorable weather and bearish chart conditions driving the sentiment. The index fund roll ticked off its second of five days on Monday, so spreads and volumes patterns...

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up; CAP Rush; Europe’s Military and Agriculture

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up The big story involves U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators meeting in London this week. Discussions lasted three hours today and resume tomorrow but no one sees agriculture being involved in the talks. Instead, the focus is on export controls where Beijing is limiting...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather Forecasts while Livestock Futures Hit New Highs

Except for the livestock futures, which all hit new contract or record highs, the CBOT was mostly lower to start the week with favorable weather and bearish chart conditions driving the sentiment. The index fund roll ticked off its second of five days on Monday, so spreads and volumes patterns...

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up; CAP Rush; Europe’s Military and Agriculture

Trade Negotiations Ramp Up The big story involves U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators meeting in London this week. Discussions lasted three hours today and resume tomorrow but no one sees agriculture being involved in the talks. Instead, the focus is on export controls where Beijing is limiting...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 9 June)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.42/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.5/short ton, down $0.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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