Recent warm weather across the Northern Hemisphere has left zero snow cover across nearly all of the winter wheat production regions of the U.S. and Black Sea. We suspect that most people are taking a break (or at least trying to) from markets and market news this day after Christmas and will also do so through the New Year's weekend. In view of that, we'll save lengthy analysis for another time and instead just point out a few potential land mines on the way to 2015:

Weather in Brazil and Argentina has been generally good, and most crop production estimates are still at record levels for Brazilian soybeans. In fact, a few are throwing out numbers between 95-100 MMT. The critical time period is about to begin, and it is now important to...