Key Takeaways:

Brazil confirmed a Newcastle disease outbreak at a commercial turkey farm in Santa Catarina on 18 October, raising concerns about potential disruptions to poultry exports despite the outbreak being confined to a single facility thus far. Mexico and Malaysia have imposed nationwide restrictions on Brazilian poultry imports, while China and Chile have limited restrictions to Santa Catarina. China and Mexico alone accounted for approximately 14.7 percent of Brazilian poultry exports through September 2026. Brazil's experience with Newcastle disease in 2024 suggests that broader trade disruptions could be relatively short-lived if the outbreak is contained, although restrictions on individual states may persist considerably long...