Yesterday afternoon a private analytical group released their estimate of U.S. corn and soybean production. The corn number was slightly above the USDA July estimate and just shy of 14 billion bushels. That is simply a ton of corn and it would take some sort of cataclysmic event (like a major early freeze) to change that number enough to significantly affect ending supplies and price direction. The soybean number, however, was below the USDA estimate by over 100 million bushels. The yield was pegged at 43 bushels per acre compared to the latest USDA estimate of a record 44.5 bushels per acre.Unlike corn, the soybean yield can make a major difference in whether we are talking $11.00 or $12.00 soybean prices or $13.00-14.00 soybean prices...