Most analysts don’t expect many surprises in tomorrow’s USDA November reports; in fact, if you just go by the “average” of the trade guesses there is little change expected.Most analysts don’t expect many surprises in tomorrow’s USDA November reports if you believe the numbers in the table below. In fact, if you just go by the “average” of the trade guesses there is little change expected. The important thing about all of these guesses is that there are few willing to bet that USDA will drop the corn or soybean yield estimates, production estimates, or ending supply estimates. If there is a surprise in tomorrow’s numbers on the supply side of the equation it will be that USDA reduces the total U.S. supply. That is unlikely to happen.The dem...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
What You Need to Know Today: Agricultural commodities were mostly lower on the day, with red-hot soyoil a notable exception. Export sales were a bit underwhelming, particularly for corn with export sales down 52 percent week-over-week. The weakness in ag markets tracked crude oil weakness wit...
With the war in Iran affecting fuel and fertilizer prices, higher tariffs, weak commodity prices, ag labor constraints, and other factors, farm bankruptcies are now at a 6-year high, a signal of growing stress. During the month of April, 62 Chapter 12 bankruptcies were filed, which is a 1...
Food Inflation The Open Markets Institute, which is notably funded by several “anonymous” donors and liberal foundations, obtained a guest editorial in the New York Times in which they blame agribusiness concentration for higher grocery prices. This is their schtick and it is politi...