World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights – Transition Week

The Market The market is at the seasonal turning point. Brazilian soybean basis has turned negative relative to Chicago. March soymeal hit a contract high this week of $508.20/ST, the highest for the spot month contract since 2014. All 2022/23 soymeal contracts hit record highs, then reversed. The surge was prompted by heavy fund buying but it also signals the end of the bull run as Brazil takes over the export market. Brazilian soybean exports are up 362 percent in early February. The result for the week – March soybeans fell 0.8 percent, meal went down 1.8 percent, but soyoil was pulled higher by other oils and gained 2.5 percent. It isn’t all singing the blues. The IGC lowered its estimate of global soybean production by...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Comfortable, With Jitters

There was generally low volume in grains today as traders await USDA’s important reports on Friday. There is no reason to spend more money on fees or commissions after spending several days aligning with the perceived outcomes. At the same time, market noise does not completely stop and there i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.54/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3625/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $300.8/short ton, down $2.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 December 2024 – 3 January 2025As of the end of 2024, Russian Statistics Agency (RosStat) statistics show “preliminary” grain crop size at 124.96 MMT without including occupied territories of Ukraine, but including annexed Crimea. RosStat can issue “preliminary” updates...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Comfortable, With Jitters

There was generally low volume in grains today as traders await USDA’s important reports on Friday. There is no reason to spend more money on fees or commissions after spending several days aligning with the perceived outcomes. At the same time, market noise does not completely stop and there i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.54/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.3625/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $9.945/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $300.8/short ton, down $2.7 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 December 2024 – 3 January 2025As of the end of 2024, Russian Statistics Agency (RosStat) statistics show “preliminary” grain crop size at 124.96 MMT without including occupied territories of Ukraine, but including annexed Crimea. RosStat can issue “preliminary” updates...

Trudeau Resigns as Canadian Prime Minister

On the campaign trail in 2024, then-candidate and now President-elect Donald Trump proposed to levy tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imports, and 60 percent on imports from China. Then on the week of Thanksgiving, that changed to 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 p...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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