World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Argentine Dryness; ITC Confirms Duties on Biodiesel; Indian Rapeseed

Argentina Dryness Currently the Soybean Trade’s Key Focus  It is well known by observers of the global soybean market over the last decade that one of the key factors to watch is the weather situation in Argentina, which has a history of being quite variable from one year to next. Periodic flooding has impacted the country’s soybean production during the past few years, but a severe drought in 2009 and 2012 sharply reduced it and had a substantial effect on prices. Production declined from 46.2 MMT in 2008 to 40.1 MMT in 2009 and from 49 MMT in 2011 to 40.1 MMT the following year as well. It appears there is a growing chance Argentina may suffer another drought in 2018 with a similar effect. Parts of the country are curre...

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Market Commentary: Mixed Day But a Strong Week, And More Ahead

It was the last trading day of a shorter trading week that provided lots of inputs. It started with the Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports, which changed little but they did confirm expectations. Weather continues to point toward ample crop supplies. President Trump teased there is a trade de...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4925/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.2/short ton, up $1.4 fr...

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Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesday's market activity. The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day But a Strong Week, And More Ahead

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.5675/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4925/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $292.2/short ton, up $1.4 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

Usually, one discusses bears - not bulls - emerging from hibernation, but the somewhat discongruous title of today's report is an accurate image of Wednesday's market activity. The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.2075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.8/short ton, up $3.2 from yester...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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