World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Multi-Bearish Factors

The MarketThe January soybean contract has been sliding all week and despite support at the 20-day moving average of $10.01/ST, it closed today below $10/bushel for the first time this month. The reasons are many including: a rising dollar value, 2) large impending South American production, 3) the near finished harvest of a large U.S. crop, 4) a possible trade war, and 5) uncertainty about future biofuel policy.11142024oilseeds_beans.png 797.43 KBDecember soymeal has stair stepped its way down to a new contract low at 285.9/ST. With an RSI at 28, the contract is oversold. 11142024oilseeds_meal.png 711.21 KBThe December soyoil price has had the sharpest drop this week, falling 8.87 percent and is now below the 20-day moving average. 1114202...

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Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

The CBOT saw another day of pronounced weakness with expectations for larger global soybean and wheat production and stocks in 2025 weighing on values. Product demand in the soy complex has also been a huge negative factor recently with uncertainty over U.S. biofuels policy causing a sharp redu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Market Commentary: Bearish Beat Goes On

The CBOT was essentially all red on Wednesday with traders finding little support from either the fundamental or technical components of commodity price analysis. Wheat was the downside leader for the day as a strong dollar, improving conditions in the Plains, and increasingly tepid exports fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

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Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.3025/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.875/bushel, down $0.2025 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $287/short ton, down $4.6 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bearish Beat Goes On

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softs

USA Gone Nuts

While oilseeds receive much of the attention, tree nuts, which are technically a seed and containing oil, have gone even more gangbusters for U.S. producers in recent years. Almonds have received much of the focus as the U.S. produces nearly 80 percent of the crop and a comparable share of the...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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