One Year Balancing Act Favorable numbers for Wall Street and the unemployment rate are two metrics Donald Trump needs to win reelection. Employment has not waivered yet and while the trade war with China has the Dow Industrial Average off 5 percent from its peak, it is still 15 percent higher from its trough back in December. The Trump reelection campaign is gambling that if the economic costs of the war are kept limited, they will contrast this President’s get-tough approach with China against the opposition’s suggestion that America back off and thus capitulate. They will argue that China has been stealing, and failure to force better behavior will then be granting Beijing a license to steal. However, if he miscalculates his...