World Perspectives

Pandorra’s Tariff Box

This is not a defense of tariffs or the tariff war, but a discussion about strategy and asymmetry. Since Mr. Trump announced his reciprocal tariff plan (trade war) in April, most news articles have focused on the adverse impacts to Americans. Consumers would pay the cost and speculation was rife that this self-inflicted wound would lead to a recession. Tariffs are bad, end of story. Now the conversation has shifted to the likelihood that the Supreme Court will strike down the President’s tariff-making authority, and what a pickle of a problem it will be returning potentially $2 trillion to their rightful owners. That would seem to be the consumers based on the aforementioned armchair analysis!  Largely missing from the earlier di...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space for the fourth straight week. Funds shed 99,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn accounting for 77,000 c...

Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday

U.S. financial markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, 19 January. As a result, WPI’s offices will be closed, and no issue of Ag Perspectives will be published that day. Ag Perspectives will resume on Tuesday, 20 January...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Rebound from WASDE Lows

By today’s close, losses in soybeans and wheat were down to fractions but corn could not fight its way back from USDA’s surprise bigger supply numbers in Monday’s WASDE. Volumes were generally light on this last day of trading ahead of Monday’s MLK holiday. Only the catt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed the effects of USDA’s bearish January WADSE as managed money traders expanded short positions across the ag space for the fourth straight week. Funds shed 99,000 contracts from their all-ags position last week, with selling in corn accounting for 77,000 c...

Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday

U.S. financial markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, 19 January. As a result, WPI’s offices will be closed, and no issue of Ag Perspectives will be published that day. Ag Perspectives will resume on Tuesday, 20 January...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Rebound from WASDE Lows

By today’s close, losses in soybeans and wheat were down to fractions but corn could not fight its way back from USDA’s surprise bigger supply numbers in Monday’s WASDE. Volumes were generally light on this last day of trading ahead of Monday’s MLK holiday. Only the catt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $290/short ton, up $0.8 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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