THE OPEN March beans: 9 higher Dec meal: 2.20 higher Dec soyoil: 25 higher Dec corn: 1/4 higher Dec wheat: 3/4 lower The markets opened as expected with grains a touch weaker vs. the soy complex. Beans continued to tack on gains on short-covering activity due to positive technicals, drier weather in Argentina, and more rumors surfacing that China purchased cargoes of US beans. Spread trade dominated with more buy soy/sell grain trade and buy soyoil/sell meal, which pushed oilshare to new highs. At 10:00 export inspections were released as follows: Corn: 481,097 mt vs. 500,000 mt expected Beans: 1,327,042 mt vs. 1.575,749 mt expected Wheat: 313,810 mt vs. 334,904 mt...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...