World Perspectives
livestock

Pork and Beef Diverge

U.S. beef production has been falling but pork output is rising. The higher price of beef has made the consumption of competing animal proteins like pork and poultry more attractive. Thus, pork prices initially got a boost out of the extra demand created by the shortfall in beef availability.  USDA’s forecast calls for beef production and exports to continue falling, as its price continues to rise. However, the spillover in the pork market recedes next year, when pork prices are forecast to fall, and the growth in pork exports continues to rise. The drop in beef output would be greater except feedlots are incentivized to increase the weight of the animals on hand. Average slaughter weights of hogs is also increasing. U.S. pork e...

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Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.465/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.74/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.705/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $314.7/short ton, up $1.8 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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