World Perspectives

Punish the People; Chump Trade Policy; Careful with Farmers

Punish the People Like consumers elsewhere in the world, Indians are now paying about double for vegetable oil what they paid a year ago. This is a bargain when one considers that Chicago July soyoil futures are up 150 percent from last year. India is the world’s largest importer of vegetable oil despite imposing import tariffs north of 30 percent. The tariffs are intended to boost domestic oilseeds production, but they have failed miserably. Ten years ago, India produced 24.1 MMT of cottonseed, palm kernel and soybeans; this year its production is 23.5 MMT. The only thing accomplished by the levy is punishment of the Indian consumer. Chump Trade Policy Trump trade policy involved imposing tariffs to create leverage for negotiating...

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Export Sale

Export Sales and Shipments for May 23-29, 2025  Wheat: Net sales reductions of 49,100 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025. Export shipments of 540,100 MT were up 8 percent from the previous week and 20 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Indonesia (81,100 M...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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