There are really only two short-term issues left for the market to deal with over the next month or two. This is assuming that while there will certainly be changes in the corn and soybean yield estimates, those changes should not be big enough to singlehandedly affect prices. These two issues are the quarterly grain stocks report and what USDA does with planted acreage estimates for corn, soybeans and wheat.The quarterly USDA grain stocks report that will be released Monday 30 September will be more important for wheat than for corn. Because we are on the eve of harvesting a record corn crop, old crop tightness will suddenly disappear. Corn ending supplies will at least double in the new marketing year. Wheat supplies, on the other hand,...
What You Need to Know Today: Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans continued to accelerate, with USDA reporting another 558 KMT sold to China and 236 KMT to unknown destinations. Combined with sales announced Wednesday and Thursday, the latest purchases bring the three-day total to approximately...
Key Takeaways: With the fall calf run now upon us, producers are finally getting a glimpse of what their realized profits will be for 2026. Some producers may have already obtained a strong estimate of 2026 revenues, especially if calves were forward sold in, for example, the mid-summer...
As fall begins, wild migratory birds are starting their seasonal migration. That has the industry and government officials worried about the potential spread, again, of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Some members of Congress have called for the United States to be prepared for a pote...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.