World Perspectives
biofuel

RFS To Do List: Reduced RVO Coming?

On Friday we reported on the lobbying effort by merchant refiners – and more specifically their labor unions – to get a waiver from the RFS. But Friday was also the day that the Administration released its regulatory agenda, which included the following regarding the RFS and biofuels: 2022 RVOs: The 2022, and 2021, required volume obligations (RVO) are teed up to move soon. The Proposed 2022 RVO is scheduled to come in July and targeted to be finalized to meet the 30 November deadline. Since the 2021 RVO was never issued due to the COVID pandemic and the 2020 election, that rule will have the retroactive volumes for 2021 (as happened in 2016 when the 2015 and 2014 RVOs were set retroactively at the volumes actually used). Whil...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s delayed CFTC report showed managed money traders shifting from a neutral to a more bearish sentiment across the ag space. Funds added 63,000 contacts (360 percent) to their small net short across all ag futures last week and now hold a bearish position of 81,000 contracts short...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Sink on Ideal Weather; Cattle Rally Despite Feeder Imports Resuming

Grain markets gapped-lower on the Sunday night opening after a weekend of uneventful and favorable weather that was absent of any significant trade news. The weakness continued into the day session with corn and soybeans turning in the biggest losses for the day as the weather outlook continues...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 7 July)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Monday’s delayed CFTC report showed managed money traders shifting from a neutral to a more bearish sentiment across the ag space. Funds added 63,000 contacts (360 percent) to their small net short across all ag futures last week and now hold a bearish position of 81,000 contracts short...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Sink on Ideal Weather; Cattle Rally Despite Feeder Imports Resuming

Grain markets gapped-lower on the Sunday night opening after a weekend of uneventful and favorable weather that was absent of any significant trade news. The weakness continued into the day session with corn and soybeans turning in the biggest losses for the day as the weather outlook continues...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 7 July)

Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.485/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2075/bushel, down $0.285 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.9/short ton, down...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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